THE SPORTS KINGODDS

Hedge calculator

You hold a bet and the other side is available: how much to stake on it to lock equal profit, to get your stake back, or to see any hedge you choose.

FreeNo account neededSame math as our tools

Inputs

$
Hedge for
$

Result

updates as you type

Run this math on every line, automatically

The odds screen shows the best current price on the other side across every book we track.

How it works

A hedge is a bet on the opposite outcome of a bet you already hold. Two common targets:

Equal profit: H = S × d1 ÷ d2 (both outcomes return the same)

Break even: H = S ÷ (d2 − 1) (if the original loses, the hedge returns your stake)

S is the original stake at decimal d1, and d2 is the hedge price. The result shows what you make if either side wins. Hedging gives up expected value for certainty: if the hedge price carries vig, the locked amount is less than the original bet was worth on average.

Worked example

You hold $100 on a +400 futures bet. The other side is now −150.

HedgeHedge stakeIf original winsIf hedge wins
Equal profit$300.00$100.00$100.00
Break even$150.00$250.00$0.00

Equal profit: H = $100 × 5.0000 ÷ 1.6667 = $300.00

Break even: H = $100 ÷ 0.6667 = $150.00

Things to watch

  • Hedging costs EV. You pay the vig on the hedge; only hedge when you value certainty over the average.
  • Shop the hedge price. The best price on the other side, across books, decides how much you lock.
  • Live hedges are outside our tools: we show pregame prices only.

Frequently asked questions

When should I hedge?
When a swing would hurt more than the EV you give up, for example a large futures position near the end. Hedging is a risk decision, not a profit trick.
What is the difference between equal-profit and break-even hedges?
Equal profit locks the same result whichever side wins. Break even only protects your stake: you keep more of the payout if the original wins and get your money back if it loses.
Can I hedge a parlay?
Yes, treat the parlay's remaining payout as the original bet: stake S and decimal d1 = total payout ÷ stake.
Why is my locked profit smaller than expected?
Because the hedge price carries vig. The better the hedge price, the more you lock.

Related calculators

Learn more